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Economic Vitality

Economic Vitality measures the quantity and quality of jobs within a region, the relative incomes that its residents earn, the wealth they attain, and economic opportunities for its entrepreneurs.

Best Practices & Deeper Dives

How to Read the Tiles How to Read the Tiles

Housing Prices

Rising home values increase prosperity for many citizens, and home equity is one of the primary drivers of household net worth, another important driver of regional prosperity. However, when prices accelerate too quickly, as demonstrated over the COVID-19 pandemic, and wages do not keep pace, rising home values can contribute to major concerns about affordability.

Existing Home Sales Price Growth Rate

2026 TAKEAWAYS

Housing prices contracted at -4.01%, placing us in 19th for Existing Home Sales Price Growth Rate, a continued correction from the unprecedented increases in Existing Home Sales Price Growth from three years ago (26%).

Across our comparison communities, price growth is clearly cooling. Eleven of our MSAs saw home price growth slow or turn negative, and 13 are now growing more slowly than the national average of 0.78%.

It’s helpful to look at this alongside net migration trends. Tampa Bay experienced the second-largest price correction— first experiencing a correction post-COVID, but further influenced by hurricane impacts towards the end of 2024. This is substantiated by changes to other Florida metro areas.

While Tampa Bay decreased over 4%, Orlando saw only a modest 1% decline. South Florida still posted slight growth at 0.22%, and Jacksonville recorded a larger pullback of 2.79%.

Even with these declines, homeowners in Tampa Bay will remain well ahead of the market after the sharp run-up in prices over the past few years (roughly ~26% increase YOY at our peak three years ago).

For buyers, this slowdown could improve affordability and create more realistic entry points into the market.

INCREASING VALUES

  • Reflects a positive consumer sentiment and a perceived increased value of the market. 
  • May indicate increasing demand, a sign of economic and population growth. 
  • This may also mean a decreased supply, which can increase prices due to competition.
  • Drastic changes may lead to affordability concerns.

DECREASING VALUES

  • Negative consumer sentiment.
  • Perception of a decreased value of the market.
  • Decreased demand, which could be linked to population migration out of the region.
  • This can also increase the supply of housing on the market, reducing prices.

CONTRIBUTING FACTORS

  • In-migration
  • Supply and Demand
  • Availability of Land
  • New Construction 
  • Multi-Family Units
  • Supply Chain 
  • Interest Rates